Texas A&M has been great on a down-to-down basis defensively in recent weeks, and has held opponents out of the end zone in scoring situations – so I think the Aggies have a legitimate shot to win this game.
The Aggies have scored more than 30 points in 4 straight games, and should be able to replicate those numbers against an LSU defense that is 107th in PPA, 90th in success rate and 91st in points per opportunity since Week 7. Following the firing of Jimbo Fisher, the Aggies are playing freely on offense with sophomore quarterback Jaylen Henderson, who has upside as a rusher – which is an added wrinkle to the offense. Moreover, the Tigers do not have much to play for considering they cannot win the division nor make the College Football Playoff. This is an incredibly sleepy spot for the Tigers, playing at home at 11:00 am ET on the Saturday after Thanksgiving. However, I think the Aggies have a real shot to win this game, too. As I highlighted in my game preview and underdogs articles, I love Texas A&M to cover the double-digit spread in this spot. I’m going to start off with what will be the leg with the longest odds.
